Summary This vacancy is for a Supervisory Operations Research Analyst in the Office of the Secretary within the Department of Commerce. Responsibilities As a Supervisory Operations Research Analyst, you will perform the following duties: Oversee the calculation and forecasting of the future costs of systems, projects/programs, resources, to support independent studies, key strategic programs, investment decisions, and various management reviews (e.g. milestone reviews, budget reviews). Lead and plan the development of multifaceted models and tools to estimate program costs including development, procurement, operation and maintenance phases, time phased spending and budget profiles, program schedule projections, and probability distributions incorporating program risk factors. Conduct analysis and provide recommendations by applying expert knowledge of a broad range of cost analysis strategies to include mathematics, statistical analysis, parametric and non-parametric analysis, computer modeling, decision theory, mathematical programming, regression analysis, and economic analysis. Independently analyzes large data sets consisting of qualitative, quantitative, structured and unstructured data types using advanced techniques to identify findings relevant to leadership decision making. Provides technical assistance by advancing the development of appropriate and technically sound methodologies. This Job Opportunity Announcement may be used to fill other Supervisory Operations Research Analyst ZP-1515-5 positions within the Department of Commerce in the same geographical location with the same qualifications and specialized experience. Requirements Conditions of Employment You must be a U.S. citizen to apply for this position. You must successfully pass a background investigation. This may include a credit check, a review of financial issues, as well as certain criminal offenses and illegal use of possession of drugs. A probationary or trial period may be required. Selective Service: Males born after 12/31/59 must be registered or exempt from Selective Service (see https://www.sss.gov/). If you receive a conditional offer of employment for this position, you will be required to complete an Optional Form 306, Declaration for Federal Employment, and to sign and certify the accuracy of all information in your application. All Federal employees are required to have Federal salary payments made by direct deposit to a financial institution of their choosing. Drug Test: Yes License required: No Pre-employment physical required: No Bargaining Unit Position: No Confidential Financial Disclosure Report (OGE form 450): Yes Permanent Change of Duty Station (PCS) Expense: Will not be paid Time-in-grade/band requirements must be met by the closing date of the announcement unless eligible for special hiring authority, reinstatement eligible, non-current Federal employee applying as a VEOA eligible which do not require time-in-grade/band. Qualifications Qualification requirements in the vacancy announcements are based on the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) Qualification Standards Handbook, which contains federal qualification standards. This handbook is available on the Office of Personnel Management's website located at: https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/classification-qualifications/general-schedule-qualification-standards/ Applicants must possess one year of specialized experience equivalent in difficulty and responsibility to the next lower grade level in the Federal Service. Specialized experience is experience that has equipped the applicant with the particular competencies/knowledge, skills and abilities to successfully perform the duties of the position. This experience need not have been in the federal government. Experience refers to paid and unpaid experience, including volunteer work done through National Service programs (e.g., Peace Corps, AmeriCorps) and other organizations e.g., professional; philanthropic, religious; spiritual; community, student, social). Volunteer work helps build critical competencies; knowledge, and skills and can provide valuable training and experience that translates directly to paid employment. You will receive credit for all qualifying experience, including volunteer experience. This position is being filled under the DOC Alternative Personnel System (CAPS). The system replaced the Federal GS pay plan structure. Under CAPS, positions are classified by career, pay plan, and pay band. The ZP-05 is equivalent to the GS-15 grade level. To qualify at the ZP-05 level applicants must meet the Basic Requirement and Specialized Experience requirements listed. BASIC REQUIREMENTS: This position has a positive Education Requirement in addition to at least one year of Specialized Experience in order to be found minimally qualified. Transcripts must be submitted with your application package. You MUST meet the following requirements: DEGREE: in operations research; or at least 24 semester hours in a combination of operations research, mathematics, probability, statistics, mathematical logic, science, or subject-matter courses requiring substantial competence in college-level mathematics or statistics. At least 3 of the 24 semester hours must have been in calculus. -AND- SPECIALIZED EXPERIENCE: You must possess one full year (52 weeks) of specialized experience equivalent to the ZP-04 or GS-14 in the Federal service. Specialized experience is defined as: Knowledge and experience in applying the principles, theories and methods of cost analysis, operations research, engineering, economic analysis and resource management to acquisition issues; Extensive knowledge and use of analytic tools and data development, organization, and analysis for use in studies and analyses. Superior ability to analyze data and use quantitative financial analysis; identify financial issues and present results to senior managers; Experience in designing and performing innovative cost analyses in support of trade studies, analysis of alternatives, affordability assessments, long term strategic planning and program development activities; Knowledge and experience defining and estimating Mission Critical Programs(> $250M lifecycle cost) or comparable complex government or commercial systems; Experience in budget, procurement, and resource planning for the federal government; use of cost estimating techniques; and innovative use/integration of new forecasting methods; and Demonstrated ability to develop consensus recommendations and to solicit input from colleagues and peers; proven ability to remain open-minded and change opinions based on new information and requirements. DESIRED EXPERIENCE/EDUCATION: (Not a requirement to be determined qualified for the position.) Professional certification in cost estimating or related field highly desired including: International Cost Estimating and Analysis Association (ICEAA), Department of !Defense (DoD) Level III Cost Estimating, Society of Cost Estimating and Analysis, International Society of Parametric Analysis (ISAP) or similar certifications. Master's degree from an accredited college or university that includes a course of study in engineering, operations research, mathematics, statistics or other subject requiring competence in mathematical problem solving. Education See Qualifications Above. Additional Information The following links provide information on various hiring authorities that may enable you to apply through merit assignment procedures, or be eligible for a non-competitive appointment. Veterans Recruitment Act (VRA) Veterans Employment Opportunities Act (VEOA) 30% or more disabled veterans Persons with disabilities Career Transition Assistance Plan (CTAP) Interagency Career Transition Assistance Plan (ICTAP) ICTAP and CTAP Eligibles: CTAP and ICTAP candidates will be eligible if it is determined that they have exceeded the minimum qualifications for the position by attaining at least a rating of 85 out of 100. Information about ICTAP eligibility is on the Office of Personnel Management's Career Transition Resources website at: Employee Guide to Career Transition CTAP applicants MUST submit the following documents: A copy of your specific RIF notice; notice of proposed removal for failure to relocate; a Certificate of Expected Separation (CES); or certification that you are in a surplus organization or occupation (this could be a position abolishment letter, a notice eligibility for discontinued service retirement, or similar notice). A copy of your SF-50 "Notification of Personnel Action", noting current position, grade level, and duty location; A copy of your latest performance appraisal including your rating; and Any documentation from your agency that shows your current promotion potential. ICTAP applicants MUST submit the following documents: A copy of your RIF separation notice; notice of proposed removal for failure to relocate; notice of disability annuity termination; certification from your former agency that it cannot place you after your recovery from a compensable injury; or certification from the National Guard Bureau or Military Department that you are eligible for disability retirement; A copy of your SF-50 "Notification of Personnel Action" documenting your RIF separation, noting your positions, grade level, and duty location, and/or Agency certification of inability to place you through RPL, etc; A copy of your latest performance appraisal including your rating; and Any documentation from your agency that shows your current promotion potential. Current or Former Political Appointees: The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) must authorize employment offers made to current or former political appointees. If you are currently, or have been within the last 5 years, a political Schedule A, Schedule C, Non-career SES, or Presidential Appointee employee in the Executive Branch, you must disclose this information to the Human Resources Office.